99% of on-chain traders lose money, and most of it is lost to coins that were checkable in thirty seconds. Every number below is on the Trady Token Page — this guide is what the numbers mean.
Rule zero: think like a rug puller. Every launch is designed by someone; your job is to figure out whether it was designed to trade or designed to drain.
The variables and their thresholds
These are field heuristics, not laws — calibrate with experience. But when several fire at once, walk.
Top holders
- Any single holder above ~3.5% of supply (excluding the LP) is a red flag. The pool address often shows up as the top “holder” — it isn’t a trader; Trady labels it.
- Ten wallets each holding 2–3% that appeared in the same minute is worse than one whale — that’s a bundle wearing a disguise.
Volume vs market cap
- Volume under ~80% of market cap on a young token — suspect. Fresh coins with real attention churn their mcap in volume many times over.
- Huge volume with barely-moving holders count = wash trading.
Fees vs volume
- Real volume produces proportional fees (~1% of volume near bonding). A chart showing $2M “volume” that generated pocket-change fees is painted. Rule of thumb from the trenches: at ~15k mcap you want to see >0.5 SOL in fees.
Bundles
- More than ~15% of supply in connected wallets — the Bubblemaps tab makes clusters visible: same creation window, funded from one CEX account, transfers between each other.
- Bundle ≠ automatic scam — teams, MMs, and committed insiders bundle too. Bundle + fresh wallets + fake socials = scam. Bundle + doxxed team + organic community = judgment call.
Fresh wallets & snipers
- A holder list stacked with zero-history wallets on a brand-new token — avoid.
- Snipers % shows first-block buyers. Heavy sniper supply that hasn’t sold yet is an overhang waiting for your entry.
Dev history
- Dev Tokens tab shows every previous launch by this deployer. Five dead tokens in a month tells you exactly how this one ends. First-time dev is unknown risk; serial rugger is known risk.
Chart patterns
- Staircase candles (identical buys at intervals), only-huge-candles, up-only on low volume with few holders — bot-painted or honeypot-bait. Real charts breathe in both directions.
Contract basics
- Mint authority and freeze authority disabled, LP locked or burned — table stakes, and the Security Audit strip checks them automatically. Major launchpads handle this by default; anything external gets checked.
The social layer
- Engagement from zero-history accounts, AI-generated shill replies, “girl explains why this is the next DOGE” content — that’s marketing targeted at people who don’t check. You check.
The 30-second routine
- Security Audit strip — green basics?
- Holders — top wallet ex-LP under 3.5%? fresh-wallet wall?
- Bubblemaps — connected supply under 15%?
- Dev Tokens — history?
- Trades tape — organic two-way flow?
- VOL/MC and fees — does the volume look paid-for?
Fail two or more → next coin. Opportunities are abundant — the next runner is already launching. Missing a 10x costs you nothing; catching a rug costs you the deposit that would’ve caught the next 10x.
Frequently asked questions
What should I check before buying a memecoin?
Six things, in about thirty seconds: the security audit strip, top-holder concentration excluding the liquidity pool, connected supply in Bubblemaps, the deployer’s previous launches, the trades tape, and whether fees match reported volume. Two or more failures mean move on.
What percentage of supply in one wallet is a red flag?
Any single holder above roughly 3.5% of supply, excluding the liquidity pool. Ten wallets each holding 2–3% that appeared in the same minute is worse than one whale — that is a bundle in disguise.
What is a bundled token?
A token where more than roughly 15% of supply sits in connected wallets — same creation window, funded from one exchange account, or transferring between each other. Bundling alone is not proof of a scam; bundling plus fresh wallets plus fake socials is.
What does the snipers percentage mean?
It shows how much supply was bought in the first block. Heavy sniper supply that has not sold yet is an overhang waiting to be sold into your entry.
Why does the liquidity pool show up as the top holder?
The pool address holds the tokens available for trading, so it often ranks first. It is not a trader, and Trady labels it — exclude it when judging concentration. Last modified on August 4, 2026
